TODAY'S economic data releases from China were a mixed bag. First, the bad news. It has been nearly half a year since China started easing its monetary policy, and there is still little sign of a rebound in growth. For anyone thinking that the economy would surge back to full throttle, the sluggish response to the stimulus is disappointing. There was, though, also a glimmer of good news. The downturn appears to be abating. Even the beleaguered property market appears to be finding its feet. This should assuage fears that the slowdown might spiral out of control and turn into a rout.
The most worrying figure in today's data releases was fixed-asset investment, which has long been a barometer for Chinese growth. Growth of this key indicator slowed sharply to 12% year-on-year, down from 13.5% in March. That largely stemmed from a sudden slowdown in property investment, growth in which slowed to 6% year-on-year, less than half the average pace of 14% in 2014. The government cushioned the shortfall to a certain extent with infrastructure investment. Spending on roads, railways and sewage systems, to name a few targets, increased 20.3%, about the...Continue reading
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